Weekly Musing 2-21-16

Weekly Musing 2-21-16

Saul Anuzis

 

 

 

Days until the 2016 election: 261…

 

 

 

Cruz Consolidates and Unites Conservatives Nationwide 

Once again Ted Cruz took on the entire political establishment and withstood millions of dollars in misleading attack ads.

Think about it – Cruz took on a popular Governor, both United States Senators, a popular Upstate Congressman and the state’s entire political establishment.

 

History shows that you have to win one of the first three primary states to become the nominee, and we’ve done that – along with two other strong showings.

 

We’ve successfully united conservatives and now we’re going to do the exact same thing in Nevada and then in the March 1st states.

 

Going forward there’s a clear distinction between Cruz and the other candidates – if you want to keep things the same, you can vote for Donald Trump or Marco Rubio, but if you want to bring real conservative change Washington, and wipe out the influence of the lobbyists and career politicians, then Ted Cruz is your only choice.

 

The only two candidates who have won an early primary state are Ted Cruz and Donald Trump, and history shows that you have to win one of the three early states to win the nomination.  Marco still has to win a state, and if he can’t win here in South Carolina with the entire political establishment supporting him, where does he win?

 

Trump appears to have peaked…

 

 

Sabotaging Cruz…Politics Makes Strange Bedfellows

“Lies”, “say anything”, “distorting the record” and more “lies” for political expediency seems to have united three unlikely, strange bedfellows…Ben Carson, Donald Trump and Marco Rubio.

 

It is in ALL of these candidate’s best interest to sabotage the effort of conservatives to coalesce around the strongest, most consistent, courageous conservative in the race.

 

The Carson affair is completely blown out of proportion…most believe it had little to no real effect on the results.  Rubio and Trump’s claims of “lies” have backfired as video proof…in their own words…belie their self-righteous indignation.

 

This is a clever, well-orchestrated, coordinated effort by three campaigns to take cheap shots at the candidate they believe is their biggest threat.  If Ted Cruz unites the conservative movement…they lose.

 

So consider the source, understand the politics, watch the videos – in their own words…whether it’s Trump, Rubio or CNN…these campaigns and operative have engaged in some of the most unfair, misleading and self-serving political mudslinging I have ever witnessed…and the mainstream media has gleefully played along to attempt to derailed Cruz’s surge amongst conservatives.

 

The facts…not the political rhetoric…speak for themselves.

 

https://thatssaulfolks.com/2016/02/17/sabotaging-cruzpolitics-makes-strange-bedfellows/

 

 

 

5 numbers that explain why Trump won South Carolina

Donald Trump’s South Carolina coalition was comprised of downscale voters who want a candidate who “tells it like it is” to bring change to Washington.

 

That’s according to voters surveyed by exit pollsters as they left precincts throughout the state on Saturday — giving Trump a resounding victory over Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio.

 

Rubio was boosted by Gov. Nikki Haley, whose final-week endorsement carried the Florida senator into an apparent second-place ahead of Cruz.

 

Cruz, meanwhile, was buoyed by the most conservative voters, but he failed to lock down evangelicals, who carried him in Iowa and made up a majority of voters on Saturday.

 

Here are five key numbers (plus a bonus number) from the South Carolina exit poll:

 

http://www.politico.com/blogs/5-political-numbers-to-watch/2016/02/donald-trump-south-carolina-numbers-219573#ixzz40lvT8mcf

 

 

 

Inside Jeb Bush’s $150 Million Failure

Jeb Bush, the Republican establishment’s last, best hope, began his 2016 campaign rationally enough, with a painstakingly collated operational blueprint his team called, with NFL swagger, “The Playbook.”

 

On page after page kept safe in a binder, the playbook laid out a strategy for a race his advisors were certain would be played on Bush’s terms – an updated, if familiar version of previous Bush family campaigns where cash, organization and a Republican electorate ultimately committed to an electable center-right candidate would prevail.

 

The playbook, hatched by Sally Bradshaw, Mike Murphy and a handful of other Bush confidants in dozens of meetings during the first half of 2015 and described to POLITICO by some of Bush’s closest and most influential supporters, appealed to the Bush family penchant for shock-and-awe strategy. The campaign would commence with six months of fundraising for the “Right to Rise” super PAC and enough muscle to push aside Mitt Romney. There would be a massive, broad-based organizational effort to plant roots in March states at a time when other campaigns were mired in Iowa and New Hampshire. The plan outlined Bush’s positive, future-focused message with an emphasis on his decade-old record of accomplishment as Florida governor.

 

And it included several pages about the former Florida governor’s case to prosecute against top rivals – dire political threats such as Wisconsin’s Scott Walker.

 

The plan roundly underestimated threats: Bradshaw, his closest advisor and long-time defender, for example, told at least one campaign aide that Marco Rubio wouldn’t challenge Bush. Besides, Bradshaw and other top advisers believed, it would be next to impossible for someone with so little experience to beat him. “They thought there was going to be much more reverence and respect for the fact that Jeb Bush, a Bush, was getting into the race,” said one Florida-based supporter, an alumnus of Jeb Bush’s gubernatorial campaigns and former staffer. “When they got Romney to step aside, they figured everyone else would too.”

 

Most critically, the playbook, people who have read it tell POLITICO, contained nothing about Donald Trump, who would spend the next excruciating year turning Bush into his personal patrician piñata.


http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/jeb-bush-dropping-out-set-up-to-fail-213662

 

 

Democrats try to politicize a disaster – Rahm at work? Flint Crisis Could Help Dems With Key Voters

Saul Anuzis, the former chairman of the Michigan Republican Party, asserted that Clinton is advocating strongly in Flint out of desperation in her primary race and a desire to motivate minority voters. But, he added, this is a stretch for her to “make it a political issue against Republicans.”

 

“It was basically a Democratic city council and the Democratic city that made a decision to change the water supply that then got into a disagreement with another Democratic city with another Democratic political machine controlling it that turned off their water,” he said.

 

…Anuzis said that “anything above trying to fix the issue is just politicizing it.”

 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/02/17/flint_crisis_could_help_dems_with_key_voters_129681.html

 

 

Flint Is Not a Republican Scandal

Flint is a mess made by Democrats, made worse by the Democrats in Detroit, and ignored by the Democrats in the White House. The worst that can be said of the Republican on the scene is that he failed to save the local Democrats from the worst effects of their own excesses.

 

But that is the Democrats’ approach to calculating the chain of responsibility: Go up the ladder or down, as needed, until a Republican is located, or a private firm, in which case capitalism can be blamed. The Democratic monopolies in Flint, Detroit, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Newark? Somehow, somewhere, there’s a Republican responsible for that, even if he has to be brought in on an overnight flight from Oklahoma.

 

Flint is nothing more than a miniature Detroit. And Detroit is what Democrats do.

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/430072/flint-lead-water-scandal?d0vggTOKLymcbMcJ.01

 

 

Putin’s Next Land Grab: The Suwalki Gap

The Pentagon’s decision to quadruple its 2017 budget for European defense, due to the perceived threat of Russian aggression and the recent RAND report noting the difficulties NATO would have defending the Baltic States, is once again bringing to the forefront the risks on Europe’s frontier states.

 

The top brass of U.S. military forces, like the U.S. Army Europe commander, Lieutenant General Ben Hodges, have also already noted that a narrow piece of land connecting NATO member states Poland and Lithuania—the Suwalki Gap—could potentially be a target of Russian military aggression.

 

The capture by hostile forces of the Suwalki Gap or bordering Lithuanian territory would cut off the three Baltic States from other NATO countries. Analysts have likened Suwalki to the Cold War era’s Fulda Gap in Germany, where NATO planned and prepared for hypothetical Soviet attacks.

 

In addition to the region’s problematic geography and militarized environment due to neighboring Kaliningrad and Belarus, the Suwalki Gap is different and potentially an even more vulnerable target because the Kremlin could exploit the region’s historic ethnic tensions.

 

http://www.newsweek.com/putin-russia-suwalki-gap-426155

 

 

Europe’s Convinced U.S. Won’t Solve Its Problems

Europe is facing a convergence of the worst crises since World War II, and the overwhelming consensus among officials and experts here is that the U.S. no longer has the will or the ability to play an influential role in solving them.

 

At the Munich Security Conference, the prime topics are the refugee crisis, the Syrian conflict, Russian aggression and the potential dissolution of the European Union’s very structure. Top European leaders repeatedly lamented that 2015 saw all of Europe’s problems deepen, and unanimously predicted that in 2016 they would get even worse.

 

“The question of war and peace has returned to the continent,” German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier told the audience, indirectly referring to Russian military interventions. “We had thought that peace had returned to Europe for good.”

 

http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2016-02-13/europe-s-convinced-u-s-won-t-solve-its-problems

 

 

Agema NOT Running of Re-Election to the RNC

Although I often disagreed with his tone, rhetoric, strategy and tactics, I believe he participated with a servant’s heart.  Thanks for his willingness to serve. 

 

http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2016/02/20/agema-rnc-election-michigan/80669024/

 

 

NEW Mobile App for Parties & Candidates

We launched it…finally a new mobile app to help parties and candidates keep in touch with their members.

 

Our apps are native meaning they use the full power of smart mobile devices to provide rich features such as video, navigation, customized alerts linked to specific content, events calendaring, conventions, ballot registration and voting, breaking news, donations, blogs, instant polls and surveys and more.

 

And they are fully customizable.  So check out one of the apps that is currently live.  Just go to your app store on either an Apple, Android or Windows phone and search for:

 

New York GOP (New York State Republican Party)

TN GOP (Tennessee Republican Party)

Michigan Republican Party

WSRP (Washington State Republican Party)

Republican Party of Louisiana

Republican Liberty Caucus

Tea Party Nation

NYS Conservative Party

USVI GOP (Virgin Islands Republican Party)

Lisa Posthumus Lyons (State Representative-MI)

Triston Cole (State Representative-MI)

Gowan for Arizona (Gowan for Congress)

 

Follow the progress of Right Mobile and the various new parties and candidates that launch their own apps on Facebook at;  https://www.facebook.com/rightmobileUS//

 

If any party or candidate is interested in getting an app of their own, please contact me at: sanuzis@rightmobile.us

 

www.rightmobile.us

 

 

Tentative Democrat 2016 Convention Schedule Released

Saturday, 27 August 2016

11:15 AM Free lunch, medical marijuana, and bus ride to the Convention. Forms distributed for Food Stamp enrollment.

2:30 PM Group Voter Registration for Undocumented Immigrants.

4:00 PM Opening Flag Burning Ceremony, Sponsored by CNN

4:15 PM Address on “Being the Real You” Rachel Dolezal, former Head of the Seattle NAACP and Caitlyn Jenner

4:30 PM “How to Bank $200 Million as a public Servant and claim to be broke” Hillary Clinton

4:45 PM “How to have a successful career without ever having a job, and still avoid paying taxes!j

A Seminar Moderated by Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson

5:00 PM Medals of Freedom presentation to Army deserter Bo Berghdal Baltimore Looters

5:30 PM Invitation-only Autograph Session  Souvenir photographs of Hillary and  Chelsea dodging Sniper Fire in Bosnia

5:45 PM Tribute to All of the 57 States  Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi

6:00 PM General vote on praising Baltimore rioters, and on using the terminology “Alternative Shoppers” instead of “Looters”

7:30 PM Announcement of VP Nominee Chris Stevens, with a quick rebuttal and withdrawal when Hillary realizes he’s someone she got killed in Benghazi

8:30 PM The White House “Semantics Committee” Meeting General vote on re-branding “Muslim Terrorism” as “Random Acts of Islamic Over-Exuberance”

9:00 PM “Liberal Bias in Media – How we can make it work for you” Tutorial sponsored by CBS, NBC, ABC, CNN, PBS, the Washington Post and the New York Times with Guest Speaker, Brian Williams

9:15 PM Tribute Film to the Brave Freedom Fighters still incarcerated at GITMO Michael Moore

9:45 PM Personal Finance Seminar – “Businesses Don’t Create Jobs” Hillary Clinton

10:00 PM Group Condemnation of Bitter Gun Owners.

10:30 PM Ceremonial “We Surrender” Waving of the White Flag to Afghanistan, Russia, and ISIS.

11:00 PM Short film, “Setting Up Your Own Illegal Email Server While Serving in A Cabinet Post and How to Pretend It’s No Big Deal” Hosted by Hillary Clinton

11:30 PM Official Nomination of Hillary, Bill Maher and Chris Matthews

 

Yeh, I thought it was kind of funny…if there wasn’t so much potential truth to itJ

 

 

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Thanks again for all you do!

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Sabotaging Cruz…Politics Makes Strange Bedfellows

nra leadership forum

 

Sabotaging Cruz…Politics Makes Strange Bedfellows

“Lies”, “say anything”, “distorting the record” and more “lies” for political expediency seems to have united three unlikely, strange bedfellows…Ben Carson, Donald Trump and Marco Rubio.

It is in ALL of these candidate’s best interest to sabotage the effort of conservatives to coalesce around the strongest, most consistent, courageous conservative in the race.

The Carson affair is completely blown out of proportion…most believe it had little to no real effect on the results.  And Cruz apologize for the staff’s zeal.   Rubio and Trump’s claims of “lies” have backfired as video proof…in their own words…belie their self-righteous indignation.

This is a clever, well-orchestrated, coordinated effort by three campaigns to take cheap shots at the candidate they believe is their biggest threat.  If Ted Cruz unites the conservative movement…they lose.

So consider the source, understand the politics, watch the videos – in their own words…whether it’s Trump, Rubio or CNN…these campaigns and operative have engaged in some of the most unfair, misleading and self-serving political mudslinging I have ever witnessed…and the mainstream media has gleefully played along to attempt to derailed Cruz’s surge amongst conservatives.

The facts…not the political rhetoric…speak for themselves.

Trump and Rubio Cannot Simply Scream Liar When Someone Points Out Their Actual Positions | Ted Cruz 

 

Ted Cruz Didn’t Lie: The Entire Carson/Cruz Fight Timeline

http://constitution.com/ted-cruz-didnt-lie-entire-carsoncruz-fight-timeline/

 

Interview Transcript Proves Rubio Promised Hispanics en Español He’d Keep Executive Amnesty in Place

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/02/14/interview-transcript-proves-rubio-promised-hispanics-en-espanol-hed-keep-executive-amnesty-place/?platform=hootsuite

 

If Rubio is Telling the Truth, These People Are Lying

https://www.conservativereview.com/commentary/2016/02/if-rubio-is-telling-the-truth-these-people-are-lying

 

Trump on Trump…just watch:

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Weekly Musing 2-14-16

Weekly Musing 2-14-16

Saul Anuzis

 

 

Days until the 2016 election: 268…and Happy Valentine’s Day to all!

 

 

Supreme Court…

There is a unique balance on the Supreme Court today, which is neither decidedly conservative or liberal.

 

I agree with Senator Ted Cruz when he said: “Justice Scalia was an American hero. We owe it to him & the Nation, for the Senate to ensure that the next President names his replacement.”

 

There is just too much at stake to allow a lame duck, liberal activists President to make a politically motivated appointment on his way out the door.  Allow the country time to ponder and debate this issue.  It will have a lasting effect on our country and society.

 

 

Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia dies at 79

Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia, the intellectual cornerstone of the court’s modern conservative wing, whose elegant and acidic opinions inspired a movement of legal thinkers and ignited liberal critics, died Feb. 13 on a ranch near San Antonio. He was 79.

 

The cause of death was not immediately known.

 

In a statement Saturday, Chief Justice John G. Roberts said: “On behalf of the Court and retired Justices, I am saddened to report that our colleague Justice Antonin Scalia has passed away. He was an extraordinary individual and jurist, admired and treasured by his colleagues. His passing is a great loss to the Court and the country he so loyally served. We extend our deepest condolences to his wife Maureen and his family.”

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/supreme-court-justice-antonin-scalia-dies-at-79/2016/02/13/effe8184-a62f-11e3-a5fa-55f0c77bf39c_story.html

 

 

McConnell: Don’t replace Scalia until after election

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia should not be replaced until after the presidential election. 

 

Since McConnell sets the Senate’s schedule, his remarks signal the GOP’s intent to not confirm any nominee offered by President Obama. 

 

 “The American people‎ should have a voice in the selection of their next Supreme Court Justice,” he said in a statement. “Therefore, this vacancy should not be filled until we have a new President.”

 

http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/269389-mcconnell-dont-replace-scalia-until-after-election

 

 

A good discussion…

The Supreme Court as a 2016 Presidential campaign issueA few months ago, before the death of Justice Scalia, I wrote the following at Talking Points Memo:

 

The future composition of the Supreme Court is the most important civil rights cause of our time. It is more important than racial justice, marriage equality, voting rights, money in politics, abortion rights, gun rights, or managing climate change. It matters more because the ability to move forward in these other civil rights struggles depends first and foremost upon control of the Court. And control for the next generation is about to be up for grabs, likely in the next presidential election, a point many on the right but few on the left seem to have recognized.

 

When the next President of the United States assumes office on January 20, 2017, Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg will be nearly 84, Justices Antonin Scalia and Anthony Kennedy will be over 80, and Justice Stephen Breyer will be 78. Although many Justices have served on the Court into their 80s and beyond, the chances for all of these Justices remaining through the next 4 or 8 years of the 45th President are slim. Indeed, the next president will likely make multiple appointments to the Court.

 

The stakes are high. On non-controversial cases, or cases where the ideological stakes are low, the Justices often agree and are sometimes unanimous. In such cases, the Justices act much like lower court judges do, applying precedents, text, history, and a range of interpretative tools to decide cases. In the most controversial cases, however—those involving issues such as gun rights, affirmative action, abortion, money in politics, privacy, and federal power—the value judgments and ideology of the Supreme Court Justices, and increasingly the party affiliation of the president appointing them, are good predictors of each Justice’s vote.

 

A conservative like Justice Scalia tends to vote to uphold abortion restrictions, strike down gun restrictions, and view the First Amendment as protecting the right to spend unlimited sums in elections. A liberal like Justice Ginsburg tends to vote the opposite way: to strike down abortion restrictions, uphold gun laws, and view the government’s interest in stopping undue influence of money in elections as justifying some limits on money in politics. This to not to say it is just politics in these cases, or that these Justices are making crassly partisan decisions. They’re not. It is that increasingly a Justice’s ideology and jurisprudence line up with one political party’s positions or another because Justices are chosen for that very reason.

 

Especially if Senate Republicans block a liberal appointee to the Supreme Court, this has the potential to inject this issue into the Presidential campaign. And it will work both ways. You can bet that Ted Cruz will be running on a platform to replace Scalia with more and more Scalias. This could finally be the election that brings the Supreme Court into national focus much more (it has not been mentioned so far in any of the presidential debates I’ve seen).

 

http://electionlawblog.org/?p=79915

 

 

Republican Debate Brims With Attacks on Immigration and Foreign Policy

And Senator Ted Cruz of Texas warned of what could happen if Mr. Obama were allowed to fill the vacancy.

 

“We are one justice away from a Supreme Court that would undermine the religious liberty of millions of Americans,” Mr. Cruz said.

 

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Powerful..The Soviet Story

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Weekly Musing 2-7-16

Weekly Musing 2-7-16

Saul Anuzis

 

 

Days until the 2016 election: 275.

 

 

 

The FUNNIEST Political Commercial so far this Year!

…so if you ever decide to endorse someone, you better know why?!?

 

https://youtu.be/kdtNqnJdem8

 

 

On Point:  Cruz vs. Rubio

If voters feel like the 2016 election is the last election to save the American experiment, Ted Cruz really is their only option. If voters feel like things are coming to an end in this country without drastic action, they really do not have a choice between Rubio and Cruz. They have only Cruz. Cruz is the disruptive candidate. A voter who feels like the end is near without drastic action has to take the gamble on Cruz, who still has a good chance to win.

 

Rubio, on the other hand, is the candidate for voters who think the best days are still ahead of us regardless of what happens in 2016. Democrats may fear Rubio as a candidate, but the base of the Democratic Party does not fear him like Ted Cruz. They think they could wait out Marco Rubio, even after eight years in power, and see few of their advances surrendered.

Washington’s lobbyists think that Marco Rubio will not be a disruptive force to them. They know Washington will still be mostly the center of people’s lives to a greater degree with Marco Rubio than with Ted Cruz. Ted Cruz will burn Washington to the ground and throw lobbyists on the street. Marco Rubio will strategically raze parts of Washington, putting fewer lobbyists in danger than Cruz. At least that is the thinking, and it is the thinking that is reflected in the attacks on both men.

For critics of Cruz, he cannot win. The reality is that Cruz can win, but if he wins those lobbyists and politicians attacking him will be out of a job. The Washington elite have every incentive to stop Cruz because he absolutely would be transformational, though his path to victory may be harder than Rubio’s.

 

For critics of Rubio, he will not go far enough. The reality is that Rubio may have an easier time winning, but his critics do not believe he will go far enough and do as much to fix the problems in Washington.

 

Cruz and Rubio would both be conservative to varying degrees. What is at stake between the two is how easy their election would be and how transformational their presidency would be. Rubio backers are looking at the path to the White House. Cruz backers are willing to take a gamble on the slog of a general election campaign so they can see Washington rent asunder.

 

http://townhall.com/columnists/erickerickson/2016/02/05/cruz-vs-rubio-n2114989/page/full

 

 

How Ted Cruz Engineered His Iowa Triumph

A good read:  A meticulous, technologically advanced, highly individualized groundgame—and legalized fireworks—trumped a certain outsider candidate.

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-02-02/how-ted-cruz-engineered-his-iowa-triumph

 

 

What pundits are trying to sell you (and won’t tell you) about the Iowa caucuses

And everyone seems to be bizarrely discounting Cruz, who’s fresh off an upset win in Iowa. He already was tied for second place with Kasich in New Hampshire polling averages (Rubio was fourth). While the Granite State often favors establishment candidates, Trump certainly doesn’t fit that bill. Teeming with momentum from Iowa, Cruz could become an acceptable vessel for GOP voters’ anger and frustration, and cannibalize Trump’s support.

 

In Iowa, the Texas senator proved his organization and analytics team are first-rate. He’s playing the long game, and is well-positioned for the “SEC primary” on Super Tuesday, where a bundle of delegates are up for grabs. He’s also been hustling in far-flung places from Guam to Michigan, which most campaigns have, thus far, neglected.

 

http://www.susanjdemas.com/analysis/2016/2/2/s53aqqzexyqtnx29tchrlyifqv4b5l

 

 

Ready for Rand?

Rand Paul’s admirers, and more than a few of his enemies, believe the country is having a “libertarian moment”—from Tea Partiers in Topeka to Silicon Valley techno-separatists who dream of going Galt. We’ve had these moments before, but each time they come and go without the elevation of a libertarian to high office or the advancement of libertarian ideas. There’s a reason for that, and Sen. Rand Paul is just learning why now.

 

The problem for libertarian politicians is that Americans hate libertarianism. They like Social Security and minimum-wage hikes, they are still somewhat wary of free trade and they resent that the world is full of conniving and frequently swarthy foreigners who are scheming to provide us with goods and services in exchange for little green pieces of paper. Four times as many Americans support pulling out of NAFTA or renegotiating it as support staying in. Paul, on the other hand, wants to make the whole world a free-trade zone: He scores 100 percent on the libertarian Cato Institute’s free-trade index. Libertarian ideas might appeal to voters on principle—in a poll last fall, 22 percent of Americans said they identify as or “lean” libertarian. But in the voting booth Americans don’t have principles; they have interests.


http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/03/rand-paul-america-hates-liberterians-104858#ixzz3z7UCeQDc

 

 

The rise of the Islamic State doomed Rand Paul’s presidential chances

For much of 2014, I told anyone who would listen — so not that many people — that Sen. Rand Paul (Ky.) was a strong dark horse to be the Republican presidential nominee and may even wind up in the top tier when the 2016 race actually started in earnest after the midterm elections.

 

Then the Islamic State emerged on the world stage. And Paul went from real contender to fringe player.

Paul formally ended his campaign for president Wednesday, saying in a statement that despite the fact that “thousands upon thousands of young people flocked to our message of limited government, privacy, criminal justice reform and a reasonable foreign policy,” the time had come to step aside.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/02/03/how-the-rise-of-isis-killed-rand-pauls-presidential-chances/?06a54aa

 

 

Is America Ruled By Law or Ruled by Power?

Hillary Clinton is a felon many times over. Assuming the facts are as being reported – or that they are even a tenth of the severity of what has been reported – Hillary Clinton is guilty of multiple serious felonies stemming from her conscious choice to unlawfully hide her correspondence as Secretary of State on a “private” server that was kept in some dude’s bathroom somewhere. I use the term “private” only in the sense that it was non-governmental; every foreign intelligence agency, friend or foe, was reading it. Only we American citizens can’t see what was on it, and that’s because much of it was highly classified material. So she is a felon many times over.

 

Understand that this is not open to debate. There is no “her side of the story.” There is no excuse nor harmless explanation. To those of us who have worked with classified material in the military or other governmental agencies, the daily revelations of new OPSEC atrocities literally make us nauseous. And I understand what “literally” means. We pros read that someone consciously took classified material off a secure system, walked it out of a secure facility, and somehow (by scanning it then cutting and pasting from the PDF, or even by typing it in manually) put it in an unclassified system and emailed it off in the clear to Hillary and her toilet server, where it was stored in a machine that was hooked up to the world wide web. And we feel our stomachs turn even as we run out of fingers and toes counting the horde of individual security violations that process entails.

 

http://townhall.com/columnists/kurtschlichter/2016/02/01/is-america-ruled-by-law-or-ruled-by-power-n2112522/page/full

 

 

The 2016 Presidential Primary Calendar

For all you political junkies…here is a spot to sync you smart phone to all the presidential primary states in the country!

 

http://frontloading.blogspot.com/p/2016-presidential-primary-calendar.html?platform=hootsuite&m=1

 

 

Demystifying The Primary Process

Ahead of the official kick-off to primary season, we plotted out a chart to demystify the delegate selection process. We also sat down with Ben Ginsberg, of Jones Day, to go behind the numbers and look the details of how and when the votes happen. March 19th marks this year’s tipping point for the Republican nomination, or when the 68% of delegates typically needed to determine a nominee are selected. 

 

This year’s campaign has already upended conventional wisdom in politics. Now we get to see what happens when the voting actually starts. 

 

http://www.hamiltonplacestrategies.com/news/demystifying-primary-process?utm_content=buffera91be&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

 

 

Carson Controversy…so unfair and dishonestly pushed

http://constitution.com/ted-cruz-didnt-lie-entire-carsoncruz-fight-timeline/

 

 

 

Just your “average” Democrat…Clintons made $153 million off speeches

Bill and Hillary Clinton made a combined $153 million off of paid speeches from 2001 until Hillary launched her presidential bid in 2015, according to a CNN report.

 

During that time, the couple gave 729 speeches for an average payout of $210,795 each. Of those speeches, at least 39 were given to big banks, who paid the couple $7.7 million.

 

Hillary Clinton alone made at least $1.8 million for her eight speeches to Wall Street banks.

 

She has been repeatedly challenged by Democratic presidential rival Bernie Sanders for her ties to big banks and other special interests.

 

“What being part of the establishment is, last quarter, having a super-PAC that raised $15 million from Wall Street, that throughout one’s life raised a whole lot of money from the drug companies and other special interests,” Sanders said during Thursday’s presidential debate.

 

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/268478-report-clintons-made-153-million-off-of-speeches

 

 

If Russia Started a War in the Baltics, NATO Would Lose — Quickly

If Russian tanks and troops rolled into the Baltics tomorrow, outgunned and outnumbered NATO forces would be overrun in under three days. That’s the sobering conclusion of war games carried out by a think tank with American military officers and civilian officials.

 

“The games’ findings are unambiguous: As currently postured, NATO cannot successfully defend the territory of its most exposed members,” said a report by the Rand Corp., which led the war gaming research.

 

In numerous tabletop war games played over several months between 2014-2015, Russian forces were knocking on the doors of the Estonian capital of Tallinn or the Latvian capital of Riga within 36 to 60 hours. U.S. and Baltic troops — and American airpower — proved unable to halt the advance of mechanized Russian units and suffered heavy casualties, the report said.

 

The study argues that NATO has been caught napping by a resurgent and unpredictable Russia, which has begun to boost defense spending after having seized the Crimean peninsula in Ukraine and intervened in support of pro-Moscow separatists in eastern Ukraine. In the event of a potential Russian incursion in the Baltics, the United States and its allies lack sufficient troop numbers, or tanks and armored vehicles, to slow the advance of Russian armor, said the report by Rand’s David Shlapak and Michael Johnson.

 

http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/02/03/if-russia-started-a-war-in-the-baltics-nato-would-lose-quickly/

 

 

NEW Mobile App for Parties & Candidates

We launched it…finally a new mobile app to help parties and candidates keep in touch with their members.

 

Our apps are native meaning they use the full power of smart mobile devices to provide rich features such as video, navigation, customized alerts linked to specific content, events calendaring, conventions, ballot registration and voting, breaking news, donations, blogs, instant polls and surveys and more.

 

And they are fully customizable.  So check out one of the apps that is currently live.  Just go to your app store on either an Apple, Android or Windows phone and search for:

 

New York GOP (New York State Republican Party)

TN GOP (Tennessee Republican Party)

Michigan Republican Party

WSRP (Washington State Republican Party)

Republican Party of Louisiana

Republican Liberty Caucus

Tea Party Nation

NYS Conservative Party

USVI GOP (Virgin Islands Republican Party)

Lisa Posthumus Lyons (State Representative-MI)

Triston Cole (State Representative-MI)

Gowan for Arizona (Gowan for Congress)

 

Follow the progress of Right Mobile and the various new parties and candidates that launch their own apps on Facebook at;  https://www.facebook.com/rightmobileUS//

 

If any party or candidate is interested in getting an app of their own, please contact me at: sanuzis@rightmobile.us

 

www.rightmobile.us

 

 

Stay In Touch…Feel Free to Share

My goal is for this to be a weekly political update…sharing political news and analysis that should be of interest to most activists.

 

Please share.

 

Feel free to follow me on Twitter and/or Facebook.

 

On Facebook at:

http://www.facebook.com/sanuzis

 

 

On Twitter at:

@sanuzis

 

 

My blog “That’s Saul Folks” with Weekly Musings & more:

http://thatssaulfolks.com/

 

 

Thanks again for all you do!

 

Posted in Blog | Leave a comment

Weekly Musing 1-31-16

Weekly Musing 1-31-16

Saul Anuzis

 

 

Days until the 2016 election: 282.

 

Mom YadVashem

Never Forget – So That Never Again!

This week we commemorated ‪Holocaust Memorial Day, where we remembered the six million Jews murdered by the Nazis and reaffirm: Never again!

 

My parents and grandparents were bestowed the designation of “Righteous Amongst the Nations” by Yad Vashem.  This honor was given to “gentiles” who helped save Jews from the Holocaust during World War II.

 

Several years ago, I had the experience of a lifetime to be able to visit Israel and the Yad Vashem Memorial.  They arranged a special ceremony where I, as the “son of the Righteous” laid a wreath at the Memorial with the “son of a Survivor” that my parents and grandparents actually helped save.  It was one of the most memorable and moving moments of my life.

 

I can only imagine the fear, bravery and sacrifice my parents and grandparents exhibited risked their lives to save others in the face of unbelievable brutality and persecution.  It’s hard to describe the pride…and hope that future generations may never have to experience something like that again…but if we did, that we would have the strength and convictions to act accordingly.

 

http://townhall.com/columnists/joelmowbray/2011/01/11/vowing_to_never_forget_familys_legacy,_saul_anuzis_fights_for_gop_chair/page/full

 

 

 

nra leadership forum

U.S. Senator Ted Cruz speaks during the NRA-ILA Leadership Forum at the National Rifle Association’s 142 Annual Meetings and Exhibits in the George R. Brown Convention Center Friday, May 3, 2013, in Houston. The 2013 NRA Annual Meetings and Exhibits runs from Friday, May 3, through Sunday, May 5. More than 70,000 are expected to attend the event with more than 500 exhibitors represented. The convention will features training and education demos, the Antiques Guns and Gold Showcase, book signings, speakers including Glenn Beck, Ted Nugent and Sarah Palin as well as NRA Youth Day on Sunday ( Johnny Hanson / Houston Chronicle )

The Case for Ted Cruz

Since Ted Cruz walked onto the national stage, he has been consistent in leading the attack against the corrupt Washington Establishments of both parties. Redolent of     Mr. Smith Goes to Washington.  He has done that with a level of articulate intelligence and perception virtually unprecedented in Washington.

 

I served President Reagan in the White House Office of Policy Development, and I have studied his speeches and writings for years. Cruz embraces the same three dimensional political and policy framework as Reagan – fearless, consistent, free market economics, Peace through Strength National Defense, and Traditional Values Cultural Conservatism. On issue after issue, I can see no difference between Reagan and Cruz in any of these dimensions.

 

Like Reagan, Cruz is a convictions politician, in the words of former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher.  That means that Cruz, like Reagan, and Thatcher, is transparently in politics to advance his conservative “convictions,” philosophy, and ideology, not for personal aggrandizement, power, or riches.

 

Conservatives, from Christian Evangelicals, to Tea Party fire brands, to Libertarian free market activists, to low tax crusaders, to Second Amendment, gun rights advocates, to National Defense, foreign policy conservatives, to traditional, family values, cultural conservatives, are now coalescing around Cruz. I believe they will put him over the top in Iowa, and carry that momentum to New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, and Super Tuesday states throughout the south. That run may resolve the nomination contest much sooner than now expected. Below are the reasons why this is happening.

 

http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2016/01/the_case_for_ted_cruz.html#.VqUEWKGOSN8.facebook

 

 

Ted Cruz’s Revolution

His fellow senators publicly denounce him and call him names. They yell at him behind closed doors and complain about him to their lobbyist friends. They hate him with a wild, deranging passion. The Beltway grandees, with their consulting contracts and expensive suits, would sooner die or move to Europe than live in the America he would govern.

And Cruz revels in their hatred.

 

“You know,” the Texas senator said, eyebrows tented plaintively, black hair neatly parted on the left, “when we launched this campaign, the New York Times promptly opined, ‘Cruz cannot win, because the Washington elites despise him.'” He paused for effect, exactly the same way he had paused for effect the previous night in Whitefield, exactly the same way he would pause for effect the next morning in Exeter. Then he delivered the punch line: “I kind of thought that was the whole point of the campaign!”

 

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/01/ted-cruz-revolution/426759/

 

 

Why Ted Cruz wanted the endorsement of the governor of Guam

Since the beginning of his presidential campaign, Sen. Ted Cruz and his aides have touted the fact that they are running a national campaign, attempting to lock down the support of delegates in places far from the early voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire.

 

On Thursday, some of that strategy paid off: Cruz got the endorsement of the governor of Guam, Eddie Calvo. The Texas Republican sent surrogates to the U.S. territories last year to cultivate relationships in the hopes of securing the support of delegates to the Republican National Convention in July. In a letter to Cruz, Calvo said he support’s Cruz’s stances on immigration, the Second Amendment and against large government.

 

The endorsement is part of Cruz’s strategy to carefully court delegates with the hope of locking down the nomination with numbers. He and his team have poured time and resources into the South, where Cruz believes he will play well with religious and conservative voters. The candidate has spent time in places off the normal primary map, including Wyoming and Minnesota.

 

…Cruz dispatched his father, Rafael, and Saul Anuzis, a former chairman of the Michigan Republican Party who is supporting Cruz and is spearheading his hunt for support in unusual places, to the U.S. Virgin Islands in September to ask for the support of Republicans there.

“To me, it’s like niche farming for delegates,” Anuzis said at the time.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/01/28/why-ted-cruz-wanted-the-endorsement-of-the-governor-of-guam/

 

 

The Secret Science of Winning the Iowa Caucuses

An hour before the Jan. 14 Republican debate, 250 of Ted Cruz’s most dedicated Iowa field organizers huddled in the Heritage Assembly of God church gymnasium in Des Moines. Over a dinner of potato chips and sandwiches, they sat down for a tutorial in caucus-night tactics.

 

In one sense, the Iowa caucuses, held this year on Feb. 1, are a quaint, almost anachronistic tradition—an assembly of neighbors deciding the next leader of the free world in churches and libraries and school cafeterias catered with hot chocolate and homemade pastries. But they’re also among the country’s most sophisticated, even arcane, political rituals, the culmination of months of organizing. For all the intimacy and homey trappings, they can have the intensity of a high-stakes playoff game.

 

“It’s laid bare,” says Rick Tyler, Cruz’s national spokesman. “You’ll see who has their pants down and who doesn’t. You’ll see who’s got it together and who doesn’t. I want Iowans to know we’re built to last.”

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-01-25/the-secret-science-of-winning-the-iowa-caucuses

 

 

Outsiders’ chance

WHEN Jeb Bush announced he was running for president seven months ago the tutting newspaper commentaries almost wrote themselves. With his famous name and war chest of over $100m, whistled up from Bush family benefactors in a matter of months, the former Florida governor was almost as strong a favourite for the Republican ticket as Hillary Clinton, who had made her inaugural campaign speech two days earlier, was for the Democratic one. Bush against Clinton? The prospect made American democracy seem stale and dynastic, rigged on behalf of a tiny political elite, whose members alone had the name recognition and deep pockets required to win its overpriced elections.

 

But now the primary process is about to get serious. In Iowa on February 1st perhaps 250,000 voters will brave icy roads to pick their champion in small groups, or caucuses. And the tutting has given way to real fear. On the Republican side, Mr Bush—or “Jeb!” as his campaign has cruelly styled him—is all but irrelevant. The son and brother of past presidents is clever and has a solid record of cutting taxes and privatising services. But Republican voters have dismissed him as dull and out-of-touch, an emblem of the political class they despise. The Republican front-runner, Donald Trump, is a celebrity builder with no previous political experience. He has raised little money, was once a registered Democrat and still refers derisively to his party as “the Republicans”, as if it is some unpromising acquisition he has been arm-twisted into buying.

 

http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21689539-primary-contest-about-get-serious-it-has-rarely-been-so-ugly-uncertain-or

 

 

Donald Trump Is Shocking, Vulgar and Right

And, my dear fellow Republicans, he’s all your fault.

 

About 15 years ago, I said something nasty on CNN about Donald Trump’s hair. I can’t now remember the context, assuming there was one. In any case, Trump saw it and left a message the next day.

“It’s true you have better hair than I do,” Trump said matter-of-factly. “But I get more pussy than you do.” Click.

At the time, I’d never met Trump and I remember feeling amused but also surprised he’d say something like that. Now the pattern seems entirely familiar. The message had all the hallmarks of a Trump attack: shocking, vulgar and indisputably true.

 

Not everyone finds it funny. On my street in Northwest Washington, D.C., there’s never been anyone as unpopular as Trump. The Democrats assume he’s a bigot, pandering to the morons out there in the great dark space between Georgetown and Brentwood. The Republicans (those relatively few who live here) fully agree with that assessment, and they hate him even more. They sense Trump is a threat to them personally, to their legitimacy and their livelihoods. Idi Amin would get a warmer reception in our dog park.

 

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/01/donald-trump-is-shocking-vulgar-and-right-213572

 

 

Obama flunks common sense economics

It’s too easy to label President Obama’s State of the Union as more “tax-the-rich” and redistribution. We already know that. Rather than name-calling, Republicans must draw a clear line in the sand between their worldview and Obama’s.

I’d call that line common sense economics.

 

There are a few rules of thumb to keep in mind. First, you can’t create a new business, or sustain an existing one, without the seed corn and nourishment of capital investment. Secondly, only businesses create jobs. You can’t have a job without a business.

 

Third, jobs create all incomes, including middle-class incomes. Lastly, incomes create family and consumer spending. Got all that?

 

This is not complicated. It’s common economic sense, but University of Chicago economist Casey Mulligan states this in a simpler way: Growth starts with investment and ends with consumer spending.

 

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/01/24/kudlow-why-obama-doesnt-get-common-sense-economics.html

 

 

Democrats are in more trouble than they think. And changing demographics won’t save them.

Democrats are optimistic about the future. They may have gotten pasted in 2014, but they expect great results in the next decade based on favorable trends in the population.

 

“The Republican party is in a death spiral,” Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg warns in his new book America Ascendant. It is in a “pitched fight” with what Greenberg calls the “new American majority,” which is composed of “African Americans, Hispanics, Millennials,” who “will constitute 54 percent of the electorate in 2016.” If one includes “seculars with no religious affiliation,” then this group amounts to 63 percent of the electorate that is sympathetic to the Democrats.

Greenberg’s claim is merely the latest version of an argument that Celinda Lake and other Democratic pollsters as well as analysts from the Center for American Progress have been making for the past three or four years. The heart of the argument is that the groups in the population that are likely to vote for Democrats are growing, while those that are likely to vote for Republicans are shrinking as a percentage of the electorate. As a result, Democrats will inevitably win political majorities.

 

This argument is at least half-wrong. Democrats could eventually reclaim the majorities they won in 2008 or enjoyed earlier in the past century, but it won’t happen simply because of demography. Republicans have rising groups of their own that could counter or nullify these trends. Considered merely on that basis, the parties are at a standoff. Which party wins the coming elections will depend on politics — what kind of candidates the parties nominate, what they campaign on, and what they do in office.

 

http://www.vox.com/2016/1/14/10761208/democrats-doomed

 

 

What the Next President Must Do About Putin

MMadam/Mr. President-to-be-elected, you will enter office facing Vladimir Putin’s Russia as a potential geostrategic threat to the United States. You will need a strategy to counter and resist this threat, which is only growing. At the moment, Putin appears to be closer to prevailing in Syria and holding steady in Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova. His use of force to protect despots and to render governments hostage to Moscow’s will is working to some extent, as Joint Chiefs Chairman Joseph Dunford tacitly acknowledged last week when he told reporters that because of Russia’s military intervention in Syria, the Assad regime “is in a better place” ahead of scheduled peace talks in Geneva this week. Putin may have helped Assad regain control of enough of Syria to potentially retain power and in Eastern Europe the states with uninvited Russian forces continue to experience limits on their territorial and political sovereignty.

 

What precisely is the threat from Russia? Putin’s two main objectives—to keep himself in power and to rebuild Russia as a great power—do not in themselves endanger U.S. national interests. The threat lies in the fact that Putin is trying to achieve his goals by rewriting international rules and norms that are critical to U.S. security. Specifically, he seeks to inaugurate a new international order that permits human rights abuses by despotic leaders and invasion, occupation and political subversion of sovereign states. Not to mention assassination: Only last week, a British inquiry led by retired high court judge Robert Owen found that the murder of former FSB agent Alexander Litvinenko in 2006 was “probably” directed by the Russian president.

 

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/01/next-president-putin-pentagon-policy-213559

 

 

 

The conservative movement has become the GOP establishment. Now what?

There’s something faintly comical about everyone in the Republican party shouting, “I’m not the establishment. That guy is.” The conservative movement long ago defeated the East Coast establishment of the party. It was a total rout; the last semi-moderate New England Republicans were defeated a decade ago. And yet, conservatives still insist that they are fighting some powerful establishment within the Republican Party.

 

Conservative institutions — their publications, think-tanks, and policy shops — are firmly embedded within the larger political class. The victory has been so-well established for so long that the literal children of the previous establishment will not stick up for it. George W. Bush ran as a conservative. Jeb Bush has ideologically been more enthusiastic for conservatism than his brother.

 

http://theweek.com/articles/600895/conservative-movement-become-gop-establishment-now-what

 

 

A Psychologist’s Open Letter to U.S. Voters

You have the power to shape the future of this country.

Politicians are groomed by us—by our applause, by our polls, by our votes. Whatever you seem to love or hate, they’ll embrace or reject. So be careful what you applaud or attack. It matters what they—and all the little future leaders watching them—think you want in a leader…

 

…I offer a guide, based on research, for what keeps leaders healthy, so you can applaud the right behaviors, and, I hope, punish the dangerous ones.

 

People high in healthy narcissism (link is external) inspire without undermining. They lead with conviction not cruelty. They bring out the best (link is external), not the worst, in the people around them. That’s who we need leading the nation.

So here are some dos and don’ts:

 

https://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/romance-redux/201509/psychologists-open-letter-us-voters

 

 

 

Why The Baltics? – Analysis

Why the Baltics? Of the European Union’s half a billion residents, scarcely more than 1% live in one of the Baltic countries. Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are tiny countries in terms of their landmass and their population. Yet they punch far above their weight. From energy policy to e-government, from geopolitics to economic policy, the Baltic countries are playing an outsized role in Europe’s future.

 

If the Baltics are known for anything today, it is for their precarious geopolitical position. Located on the eastern shores of the Baltic Sea, these countries are on the frontlines of the struggle between Russia and the West for influence in Europe’s borderlands. The Baltics are nearly surrounded by Russia and its ally Belarus, save only for a short border that Lithuania shares with Poland.

 

http://www.eurasiareview.com/24012016-why-the-baltics-analysis/

 

 

The 10 Oldest Languages Still Spoken In The World Today

Language evolution is like biological evolution – it happens minutely, generation by generation, so there’s no distinct breaking point between one language and the next language that develops from it. Therefore, it’s impossible to say that one language is really older than any other one; they’re all as old as humanity itself. That said, each of the languages below has a little something special—something ancient—to differentiate it from the masses.

Lithuanian

The language family that most European languages belong to is Indo-European, but they started splitting apart from each other probably around 3500 BCE. They developed into dozens of other languages like German, Italian, and English, gradually losing the features that they had all shared. One language, however, up in the Baltic language branch of the Indo-European family, retained more of the feature of what linguists call Proto-Indo-European (PIE), which is the language that they postulate was spoken around 3500 BCE. For whatever reason, Lithuanian has kept more of the sounds and grammar rules from PIE than any of its linguistic cousins, and can therefore be called one of the oldest languages in the world.

http://theculturetrip.com/asia/india/articles/the-10-oldest-languages-still-spoken-in-the-world-today/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=share

RightMobile

NEW Mobile App for Parties & Candidates

We launched it…finally a new mobile app to help parties and candidates keep in touch with their members.

 

Our apps are native meaning they use the full power of smart mobile devices to provide rich features such as video, navigation, customized alerts linked to specific content, events calendaring, conventions, ballot registration and voting, breaking news, donations, blogs, instant polls and surveys and more.

 

And they are fully customizable.  So check out one of the apps that is currently live.  Just go to your app store on either an Apple, Android or Windows phone and search for:

 

New York GOP (New York State Republican Party)

TN GOP (Tennessee Republican Party)

Michigan Republican Party

WSRP (Washington State Republican Party)

Republican Party of Louisiana

Republican Liberty Caucus

Tea Party Nation

NYS Conservative Party

USVI GOP (Virgin Islands Republican Party)

Lisa Posthumus Lyons (State Representative-MI)

Triston Cole (State Representative-MI)

Gowan for Arizona (Gowan for Congress)

 

Follow the progress of Right Mobile and the various new parties and candidates that launch their own apps on Facebook at;  https://www.facebook.com/rightmobileUS//

 

If any party or candidate is interested in getting an app of their own, please contact me at: sanuzis@rightmobile.us

 

www.rightmobile.us

 

 

Straw poll shows Cruz emerging as candidate with majority support

Last week I shared a link to an online preferential voting poll. Each voter was asked to rank the Republican presidential candidates in order of choice. Only one vote per IP address was allowed,

As of Friday, nearly 200 people had cast ballots. They reveal much about the race – not as a scientific poll, but for showing relationships among backers of candidates as revealed by their rankings. In the first round, Cruz had 71 votes (40%), compared to Trump’s 38 (21%), Marco Rubio’s 22 (12%), and no one else in double digits. When no candidate has a majority, we count the second choices of voters whose first choice has been defeated. Once the field is reduced to two, Ted Cruz emerges victorious, with 69% of the vote against Donald Trump. In the final “instant runoff.”

 

  Round
Candidate 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
 
Jim Gilmore 0%                  
Mike Huckabee 1%                  
Chris Christie 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%          
Rand Paul 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8%      
Rick Santorum 1% 1%                
Donald Trump 21% 21% 21% 21% 22% 22% 22% 22% 25% 31%
Carly Fiorina 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6%        
Ben Carson 3% 3% 3% 3%            
Jeb Bush 2% 2% 2%              
John Kasich 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 9% 9% 12%    
Ted Cruz 40% 40% 40% 40% 42% 43% 45% 49% 52% 69%
Marco Rubio 12% 12% 12% 13% 13% 14% 16% 17% 23% 0%
Exhausted Ballots         2 3 6 9 14 30
Continuing Ballots 178 178 178 178 176 175 172 169 164 148

 

Ranking patterns are revealing as well. A quarter (24%) of Trump voters ranked Cruz second, three times more than they ranked Rubio second. Cruz also does well far better than Trump in securing Rubio’s second choices. Overall, he was ranked first, second or third on 56% of all voters’ ballots; ahead of Rubio (34%) and Trump (33%) and far ahead of Jeb Such with 12%.

 

Percentage of ballots on which candidate ranked first, second or third
Bush 12%
Carson 26%
Christie 10%
Cruz 56%
Fiorina 17%
Gilmore 1%
Huckabee 4%
Kasich 19%
Paul 16%
Rubio 34%
Santorum 4%
Trump 33%

 

Preferential ballots also allow us to model the outcome if Cruz dropped out of the race. In the first round, Trump would be out in front, with 29% of the vote (compared to Rubio’s 23%). However, because Trump is fewer voters’ second and third choices than Rubio, as candidates who cannot win are eliminated, Rubio gradually catches up with Trump and emerges the winner in the final round with 54% to Trump’s 46%.

 

Of course the real votes will start being cast soon – but users can set up their own preferential voting contest here.

 

 

 

Stay In Touch…Feel Free to Share

My goal is for this to be a weekly political update…sharing political news and analysis that should be of interest to most activists.

 

Please share.

 

Feel free to follow me on Twitter and/or Facebook.

 

On Facebook at:

http://www.facebook.com/sanuzis

 

 

On Twitter at:

@sanuzis

 

 

My blog “That’s Saul Folks” with Weekly Musings & more:

http://thatssaulfolks.com/

 

 

Thanks again for all you do!

 

 

Posted in Blog | 1 Comment

Vote & Rank Your Top Candidates: Interesting/Educational Straw Poll

 

AGOP Field

Interesting/Educational Straw Poll

I know how hard it often is for us to pick the strongest Republican nominee and have been involved in various efforts to reform nomination  rules. One change can be in what we are able to do us as voters, and I believe that preferential voting offers a viable alternative worth exploring. It’s already used in some internal party contests, and preferential voting ballots are being used this year in Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina to better ensure overseas and military voters have a vote that counts in both the first and second round of runoffs.

 

To give you a sense of how preferential voting works, I’ve created Republican Nomination Straw Poll that I’m asking readers to try out over the next few days so I can report on the results next weekend. There’s only one vote allowed per IP address, so while it’s not any official vote, it should be reflective of what this list thinks right now about the Republican field.

 

What is interesting to watch is how YOUR candidate performs earning folks second choice vote.  That would matter with preferential voting. It simulates an “instant runoff” between the strongest two candidates. In other words, preferential voting will show us who has majority support when you compare the top candidates one-on-one. Recent polls that ask that “one-on-one” question are revealing. For instance, an Iowa caucus poll this month found that Donald Trump led Ted by 29% to 27% in first choices, but Ted defeated him by a 59% to 41% landslide when matched one-on-one; see an analysis of that poll that explains how the poll numbers allow a simulation of a preferential voting contest.

 

Preferential wouldn’t be about helping any one candidate, of course. It’s about giving voters more power over their vote. When we have more than two candidates, the vote can split. Preferential voting allows us to vote more freely and see just who really is the strongest candidate. So check out the Republican Nomination Straw Poll, vote, and see the results next weekend.

 

https://civinomics.com/polls/124258

 

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